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Did you see what god just did to us, man?!

The most recent bubble’s poster child, Cathie Wood, has been in the news1 again. Long gone are the days that she was celebrated for being the next Buffett. Today, the woman who once expressed that her investments were “fulfilling the will of god" is more often satirised for having lost her investors so much money.

“Did you see what god just did to us, man?!”

Fear & Loathing in Las Vegas, but probably ARKK investors too

Standing as one of many low-interest rate phenomenons, there was once a time when investors praised the fund’s forward-thinking investments in disruptive technology. Investors paid little attention to the fund’s 0.75% fee being twice the average for actively managed ETFs. Why would they? The Fed was printing money, the share price of ARKK continued to climb, and capital was sloshing around like petrol in the tank of an offroad dirtbike. But then the final bell at the bar began to ring and as is typical of market cycles, investors remained illusioned; thinking the music was still playing in the background. Denial would follow, and then later illusioned would turn into disillusionment. Tech stocks got well and truly romped. From the point of ARKK’s high in February 2021, the Nasdaq 100 has fallen ~17%, which is a bad stretch of performance by anyone’s standards. Not our Cathie though, she is built different. Her flagship fund has fallen ~75% over the same period and today still holds many of the fallen angels that marked the end of the 2020 bubble.

A list of ARKK’s current holdings, data accurate as of March 9th 2023

They must be struggling now right? …… Right?

Some of ARKK’s largest inflows came right before the top. In the first two weeks of February 2021, ARKK recorded more than $3 billion of inflows; a period when the fund was up more than 700% since inception. Assets at this point in time were just shy of $28 billion and have since dwindled to $7.6 billion. Since its inception nine years ago the ARKK fund has collected ~$310 million in fees. I know what you must be thinking; “it must be hard to earn a comfortable living now that the music has stopped”. Surprisingly not. Ark has earned more than 70% of those fees since it peaked in February 2021; more than $220 million while the share price plummeted by 75%, not bad. Just this year Factset reports that it has brought in an average of $230,000 in fees per day.

The cherry on top?

Since its inception, ARKK has wiped out more than $10 billion of its investors’ cash. But many investors have continued to support Cathie Wood and her band of analysts. Ben Johnson, Morningstar, believes they are simply trapped.

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Low Interest Rate Phenomenon: Sinking Ships…

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